Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 25.426597 29.351613 33.590723 38.498128 44.011002 50.000876 56.989279
2025-02-02 20.445987 26.305222 33.221419 41.928982 52.535163 64.966968 80.567816
2025-02-09 16.343565 22.964702 31.356859 42.639440 57.257905 75.390981 99.393236
2025-02-16 13.302684 20.174902 29.432137 42.582159 60.508950 83.787982 115.939145
2025-02-23 10.964206 17.822046 27.578963 42.128992 62.860049 90.857149 130.938400
2025-03-02 9.214271 15.969772 26.074370 41.817930 65.147840 97.758022 145.922166
2025-03-09 7.821200 14.404527 24.724827 41.469594 67.188877 104.273505 160.594835
2025-03-16 6.261269 12.295921 22.232016 39.041713 65.821090 105.662509 167.878922
2025-03-23 5.677753 11.743694 22.131632 40.296469 70.072968 115.460731 187.870410
2025-03-30 5.254211 11.404131 22.324159 42.003649 75.105655 126.670355 210.514881
2025-04-06 4.494778 10.309244 21.066849 41.121118 75.835306 131.223482 223.183989
2025-04-13 3.718767 9.045842 19.338628 39.215995 74.658446 132.613716 230.899386
2025-04-20 3.541592 9.024009 19.982564 41.732067 81.403825 147.498153 261.400084
2025-04-27 3.488570 9.273222 21.196639 45.448769 90.589738 167.049989 300.691473
2025-05-04 3.130572 8.776299 20.867709 46.218081 94.587966 178.183649 326.819755
2025-05-11 2.745087 8.138137 20.158240 46.158171 97.039788 186.789912 349.146771
2025-05-18 2.379892 7.472243 19.291606 45.672665 98.619874 193.919301 369.267263
2025-05-25 2.076850 6.900000 18.545867 45.339233 100.428176 201.503541 390.486531
2025-06-01 1.812408 6.372542 17.823907 44.965770 102.099492 208.891224 411.669448
2025-06-08 1.459164 5.504622 16.164948 42.361825 99.089191 207.499179 417.160105
2025-06-15 1.358642 5.369030 16.274658 43.707763 104.199493 221.447784 450.852050
2025-06-22 1.289043 5.316019 16.585255 45.538355 110.431351 237.809787 489.629235
2025-06-29 1.106420 4.847764 15.748475 44.592118 110.715997 242.788924 507.624752